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《经济学人》:朝鲜那个爱坐火车的主儿

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North Korea’s train-lover
朝鲜那个爱坐火车的主儿

A China hedge?
防范中国?

A hermit makes a rare venture out of his kingdom
深居简出的金将军,罕見地走出国门到外面风险投机

Aug 27th 2011 | BEIJING AND TOKYO | from the print edition

EVEN by his own mercurial standards, the contradictory signals sent out this week by North Korea’s leader, Kim Jong Il, are unusual. One day his government was seizing the assets of a South Korean tourism venture in the North once hailed as a symbol of detente. Two days later Mr Kim, making his first visit to Russia in a decade, was discussing the possibility of a pipeline carrying natural gas between Siberia and the two Koreas.

即便是以其常出人意料的标准来衡量,朝鲜领导人金正日本周放出的反常信号还是那么的非比寻常。某天,金将军的政府将曾被视为朝鲜半岛和解象征的金刚山旅游区内的韩方资产收归己有。两天之后,他又跑到俄罗斯,商讨铺设从西伯利亚到朝鲜和韩国的天然气输送管道,这是他十年来首次访问俄罗斯。

Mr Kim’s foray into Siberia began on August 20th, and was as usual by train (he has a fear of flying). In Ulan-Ude, Mr Kim met Russia’s president, Dmitry Medvedev, who treated the Dear Leader to some greasy salmon from Lake Baikal. Some in Russia have pushed the idea of piping Siberian gas to South Korea through the North, as well as connecting the three countries by rail. Perhaps North Korea, desperate for cash, is really interested. More likely, the interest is feigned. Russia is a useful supplier of free grain.

金正日对西伯利亚的“突然袭击”始于8月20日,一如既往地乘坐火车(将军害怕坐飞机)。俄罗斯总统梅德韦杰夫在乌兰乌德会见了这位贵客,并用贝加尔湖肥美的大马哈鱼款待了他。在俄国,有人推崇铺设西伯利亚至韩国的输气管道通过朝鲜,进而通过管道联通三国的理念。或许极度贫困的朝鲜是真的动心了。而更有可能的是,动心是假的,反正俄罗斯的便宜不占白不占。(*毛子这次在利比亚赔了几十亿美元的军火)

Importantly, the trip takes place at a time when Chinese diplomatic pressure is on North Korea to be less belligerent towards the South, and Chinese influence in the North is growing. North Koreans resent both. Mr Kim may be hedging against over reliance on China by getting closer to Russia. Either way, the political risks for Russia and South Korea of a pipeline through the North are almost too high for the plan to be credible.

重要的是,这次访问发生的背景,是中国施加外交压力要求朝鲜减少对韩国的武力挑衅,以及中国在朝鲜的影响与日剧深。这两点都让朝鲜很不爽。所以将军想要拉拢俄国以防对中国过于依赖。但是不管怎样,铺设通过朝鲜的输气管道的政治风险,对俄罗斯和韩国来讲都是高的无法可信。

重点单词   查看全部解释    
contradictory [.kɔntrə'diktəri]

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adj. 矛盾的 n. 矛盾

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pressure ['preʃə]

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n. 压力,压强,压迫
v. 施压

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mercurial [mə:'kjuəriəl]

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adj. 善变的,活泼的,水银的,[天文]水星的 n.

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resume [ri'zju:m]

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v. 再继续,重新开始
n. 简历,履历; 摘

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suspend [səs'pend]

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v. 推迟,悬挂,暂停,勒令停职

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pipeline ['paip.lain]

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n. 管道,管线

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reliance [ri'laiəns]

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n. 信赖,所信赖的人或物

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rare [rɛə]

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adj. 稀罕的,稀薄的,罕见的,珍贵的
ad

 
credence ['kri:dəns]

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n. 信用,祭器台,供桌

 
platform ['plætfɔ:m]

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n. 平台,站台,月台,讲台,(政党的)政纲

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