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I'm somebody who spends a lot of time
我花了很多时间
modelling hurricanes in the current climate and future climates.
建立现在气候和未来气候下的飓风模型
When we do that, we begin to see hurricanes
模型告诉我们
that haven't happened yet in history, if you well,
从未出现过的飓风
but they could happen on physical grounds.
理论上可能发生
We call those "Black swan events",
我们称之为"黑天鹅事件"
the particularly bad ones.
就是最糟糕的那种
This is something that worries me particular
对此我很担心
because there are places around the world
因为世界上有些地方
that are at great risk from hurricanes.
极有可能遭受飓风
Some of which don't know they're at great risk from hurricanes.
但有些还不知道自己正面临飓风的威胁
It seems scarcely credible,
听起来似乎难以置信
but one of the places
但其中一处
he thinks could be hit by a hurricane
他认为可能会遭受飓风袭击的地方
is here in Dubai
就是迪拜
in the Persian Gulf.
就在波斯湾
The Persian Gulf is a body of water
波斯湾中的海水
that gets very hot in the summer.
在夏天时温度会很高
Really hot. The hot water runs very deep, as well.
非常热 热水会流到很深的地方
To our knowledge, in the limited history of the region,
据该地区有限的历史记录所知
there hasn't been a hurricane there.
那里还从未发生过飓风
There may have been one in the distant past that wasn't recorded.
很久以前可能发生过但未被记录下来
