美联储主席艾伦•格林斯潘确实警告过美国国会，哪怕战争打响，而且战争正在取得胜利，美国的经济可能仍将维持虚弱的状况。艾伦•格林斯潘预测，一旦有关对伊战争迫近的忧虑消除，商业领域开始重新投资，今年的经济状况将会逐步回升。但是他同时也告诉国会，这种预期也有可能是错误的，因为日益强化的地缘政治紧张局面使得对经济发展的明确预期变得尤为困难。
注释：
1.testimony n.证据，证明，证言
（此处指美国官员在国会听证会上针对议员提问的答辞）
2.loom vi.隐隐呈现，朦胧出现，(危险、忧虑等)逼近
3.geopolitical adj.地理政治论的，地缘政治学的
4.transitory adj.暂时的
5.spiral vi.螺旋式移动；盘旋上升或下降
6.baby-boomer n.生育高峰期的出生的小孩。
（在美国指20世纪50-60年代出生的小孩）
7.droves n.(一起走动或行动的)人群
8.dividend n.股份红利；股息
9.keystone n.要旨；根本
Greenspan's Forecast
ANCHOR
Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan did warn the US Congress that even in the event of a war, and a war being resolved, the US economy could be still remain weak. Kathleen Hays now takes a closer look at his half-year testimony.
格林斯潘再开“金”口
主播
美联储主席艾伦•格林斯潘确实警告过美国国会，哪怕战争打响，而且战争正在取得胜利，美国的经济可能仍将维持虚弱的状况。凯瑟琳•海斯将对格林斯潘的在年度中期听证会上的证词进行详细报道。
KATHLEEN HAYS, CNN CORRESPONDENT
Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan is betting the economy is going to pick up steam this year, once worries about a looming war with Iraq are gone and businesses start investing again. But he also told Congress there is a risk this forecast is wrong, because intensifying geopolitical tensions are making it especially difficult to get a clear view of the economy’s pathway.
凯瑟琳•海斯，CNN记者
联邦储备委员会主席艾伦•格林斯潘预测，一旦有关对伊战争迫近的忧虑消除，商业领域开始重新投资，今年的经济状况将会逐步回升。但是他同时也告诉国会，这种预期也有可能是错误的，因为日益强化的地缘政治紧张局面使得对经济发展的明确预期变得尤为困难。
ALAN GREENSPAN, U.S. FEDERAL RESERVE CHAIRMAN
If these uncertainties diminish considerably in the near term, we should be able to tell far better whether we are dealing with a business sector and an economy poised to grow more rapidly, our most probable expectation, or one that is still laboring under persisting strains and imbalances that have been misidentified as transitory.
艾伦•格林斯潘，美国联邦储备委员会主席
如果这些不确定因素在近期明显减少，我们就能更好地判断出，我们目前正在处理的经济是趋于更快发展的商业和经济--我们认为最有可能的预期--还是仍于持续的紧张和不平衡状态中挣扎而却被误认为只是暂时现象的经济。
KATHLEEN HAYS
Despite his worry that the economy’s weakness may persist once the issue of a war is resolved, Greenspan said it does not need the kind of short-term boost being hotly debated in Congress.
凯瑟琳•海斯
尽管他担心一旦战争问题得以解决，经济的虚弱状况仍将持续下去，但是格林斯潘认为使用正在国会激烈的辩论的短期刺激行为是没有必要的。
GREENSPAN
We, I think, spend more time than I think is productive in figuring out how to get the economy to move in a certain way in a very short run, rather than focus on long-term. And if we do that, I suspect the short term will largely take care of itself.
格林斯潘
我认为,我们浪费了太多的时间去研究如何在短期内推动经济以某种特定方式发展，而没有着眼于长远发展。如果我们那样做，我认为我们就无须担心短期的发展了。
KATHLEEN HAYS
Instead, he urged Congress to reign in government spending and make sure that any future tax cuts do not cause the budget deficit to spiral out of control. Restraints that are critical in view of the fact that baby-boomers will soon be retiring in droves, putting big demands on social security and Medicare. Greenspan also said he favors eliminating the tax on stock dividends, the keystone of the president’s economic plan, as long as there’s a way to do it without boosting the budget deficit. Kathleen Hayes, CNN Financial News, Washington.
凯瑟琳•海斯
他反而力促国会控制政府的开支，以确保今后任何减税措施都不会导致预算赤字失去控制。鉴于在生育高峰期出生的人们将成批地退休，将对社会保险和医疗保险制度造成很大压力，因而谨慎行事就变得十分重要。格林斯潘还说，只要不造成预算赤字上升，他支持取消股息税，这是总统经济计划中的一个重要环节。
凯瑟琳•海斯，CNN金融新闻，华盛顿报道。
