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饮食与营养(视频+MP3+中英字幕) 第113期:同一个健康问题的探讨(6)

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So we do use a SMART surveillance which is really a targeted, a adaptive surveillance

我们采用的是SMART监控,这是一种针对性和适应性很强的监控
And we started out with modeling looking at what do we know from the past
从建模开始观察过去的情况
what do we know about disease events that happened before
看关于原来的疾病事件,我们了解什么
what do we know about mammal diversity and human population density that can predict where are the most likely areas for diseases to emerge
看哺乳动物多样性和人类人口密度,以此预测最可能发生疾病的地区
So that's how we've targeted the countries we work in and the interfaces that are there
这就是标的国家及接触点的选择理由
We now go out and we do the fieldwork
之后到当地进行实地工作
That's where our teams are currently working, in these 21 countries
这也就是我们团队正在工作的21个国家
Based on what we find in the field, we can then do the laboratory diagnostics and developing new assays as well
根据实地考察结果,可以进行实验室诊断并开发出新模型
To try and say, okay, based on what we've found, we need to adapt
然后根据发现成果重新适应
we need to change our interface that we're looking at or based on a new pathogen that's detected
或许需要改变接触点位置,这要根据新病原体发现情况
So it can be a feedback and a complete loop, so that we can hopefully change as the world changes around us
这能够形成反馈和循环,让我们随时能和世界的改变同步
exercise

And really it comes back to the importance of early detection, right?

这种早期检测非常重要,对吗?
The earlier that we can find a new pathogen the easier it is to prevent the spread
新病原体发现越早,预防其传播就会越容易
that then can become an exponential problem around the world
越容易避免造成全球高速传播的灾难
So if you look at the current timeline
看一下时间轴
I wonder what slides these are
这到底是什么幻灯片
You're looking at what would normally take maybe 24 days, until you could get the detection and response to the outbreak of events
一般的方法是取24天,直到检测到事件暴发并作出反应
But our goal really is just screwed it up
而我们要加速进行
If we know more about what's going on in the pathogen populations before an outbreak even occurs
我们希望在事件暴发前了解更多病原体的情况
then we can respond to that much quicker
并更快作出反应
And you can see the difference here really is that you prevent over a larger part
从这里,可以明显看到差别预防的概率面会更大
The yellow part here shows what might be prevented, if you can move the timeline up for actual response to a new outbreak
也就是黄色这部分,应对事件暴发的时间往前提了

重点单词   查看全部解释    
respond [ris'pɔnd]

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v. 回答,答复,反应,反响,响应
n.

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emerge [i'mə:dʒ]

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vi. 浮现,(由某种状态)脱出,(事实)显现出来

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spread [spred]

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v. 伸展,展开,传播,散布,铺开,涂撒
n.

 
diversity [dai'və:siti]

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n. 差异,多样性,分集

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predict [pri'dikt]

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v. 预知,预言,预报,预测

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mammal ['mæməl]

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n. 哺乳动物

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adapt [ə'dæpt]

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vt. 使适应,改编
vi. 适应,适合

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adaptive [ə'dæptiv]

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adj. 适合的,适应的,能适应的

 
population [.pɔpju'leiʃən]

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n. 人口 ,(全体)居民,人数

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detection [di'tekʃən]

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n. 察觉,发觉,侦查,探测

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